Although Johan Santana's heroic performance in the penultimate game of the season was in vain, was it enough to earn him the Cy Young Award?
Let's look at the 4 starting pitchers who will get at least some consideration:
Johan Santana: 16-7 2.53 ERA 234 1/3 innings 205 Ks 1.15 WHIP 3 CG 2 SHO
Tim Lincecum: 18-5 2.62 ERA 227 innings 265 Ks 1.17 WHIP 2 CG 1 SHO
Brandon Webb: 22-7 3.30 ERA 226 2/3 innings 183 Ks 1.20 WHIP 3 CG 1 SHO
CC Sabathia: 11-2 1.65 ERA 130 2/3 innings 128 Ks 1.00 WHIP 7 CG 3 SHO
Webb is a complete non-factor in this discussion, he is way behind in every category except wins and losses.
Sabathia makes for a very interesting argument because he is way better but only pitched half as many starts. But if you were also to exclude Santana's first 3 months, he was 9-0 with a 2.16.
So a vote for Sabathia excuses his first 3 months, but not Santana's.
I think a pitcher that comes over from the other league midseason like Sabathia can win, but not in a year when there are two other great candidates.
With their stats so similar (and I've broken them down further than what I've written here) it really is a toss-up and I can't fault anyone voting for either Santana or Lincecum. And although Linceum does have the only significant statistical edge (strikeouts), I'm voting for Santana because he thrived in a pennant race while Lincecum toiled in obscurity.
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