Saturday, October 17, 2009

Weekly Picks

If you take off that miserable first week I'm actually on fire, hitting 65% of my games over four weeks.

CINCINNATI -5 houston
According to NFL gambling lore, if two perfectly even teams were playing each other, the home team would be a three point favorite. If that's the case how are the Bengals not giving 7 to 10 points in this one?

new york giants +3 1/2 NEW ORLEANS
Perfect example of the above stated theory. The Saints are giving these points because they are the home team. It really doesn't make any sense though because the Giants are definitely the better team.

philadelphia -14 OAKLAND
No spread seems too big for the Raiders to lose by. And the Eagles have been doing a good job scoring points this year.

denver +3 1/2 SAN DIEGO
Another game, similar situation. Why would anyone believe the Chargers are a better team than the Broncos this year?

BEST BET
NEW ENGLAND -9 tennessee

Until the handicappers who set these lines figure out the Titans are not the same team they were when they were 13-3 last season, I'm going to keep picking against them, maybe as my best bet every week.



Last week: 2-3 (3 points)
Season: 13-12 (14 points)
Best Bets: 1-0 (3-2)
Home Favorites: 0-0 (3-1)
Home Underdogs: 1-0 (1-0)
Road Favorites: 1-2 (5-6)
Road Underdogs: 1-0 (4-5)

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