Weekly Picks

Last week was another disaster marred by two pushes (which count as losses, a tie is like kissing your sister), so now we break out a new strategy to try to get back on the winning track.

houston -3 ATLANTA
The Texans are a strong solid team and the Falcons are the worst team in the NFL. The 3 point spread is relatively small, though I wish it were half a point smaller. The only way good teams lose to bad teams, even on the road, is when they have a letdown. I expect Matt Schaub to come into town with an angry "you dumped me for that dog killer" attitude and fire up his teammates. Also after a tough loss to the Colts, the Texans will have wasted their 2-0 start if they lose here.

INDIANAPOLIS -9 1/2 denver
I think the Broncos are pretty bad this year. They could very easily be 0-3. They lost at home last week to a decent team by 9. The Colts have muddled through two mediocre games and they definitely see what the Patriots are doing and want to keep up. While the Broncos defense is pretty good, I could see them getting torched in this one.

green bay -2 MINNESOTA
There's always the chance that the old gun-slingin, just having fun Brett Favre will reemerge and kill you with three interceptions on passes he never should have thrown. But this spread is so small, and the Vikings offense is so bad, that I can't see the Packers losing this one. If Favre can put up 14 points, I think that will be enough.

BUFFALO +4 ny jets
I haven't been picking enough underdogs, or home teams and I really think the Bills are the best 0-3 team out there. I know their offense is due to explode, they have too many good players for it not to. The one thing about the Jets though, they usually beat up on the bad teams. But the Bills have gotten killed the last two weeks and I just don't see it happening three weeks in a row.

BEST BET
new england -7 CINCINNATI
Here's the new strategy, take the Patriots as my best bet every week. They are too damn good. 7 is a lot to give up on the road especially to a potent team like the Bengals but it's just something I've got a feeling might work this season. I think the Pats are on the verge of something special, something that even the oddsmakers in Vegas can't make the spreads big enough to stop.

Last week: 1-4 (0 points)
Season so far: 6-9 (5 points)
Best bet: 0-1 (1-2)
Home favorites: 0-0 (2-2)
Home underdogs: 0-0 (1-0)
Road favorites: 1-2 (2-4)
Road underdogs: 0-2 (1-3)