Weekly Picks

I went 2-2 last week which isn’t so bad but of course I lost my best bet when Tom Brady had the worst game of his life. One thing I don’t like about this week, the games are being played in three domes and San Diego. I want winter weather. I want snow, I want cold. Either way, I feel confident about this week and I’m about to do something I never do – so let’s get to the picks.

arizona +7 NEW ORLEANS
I think the Cardinals offense is too good to get this many points. I can definitely see them winning this game because Warner and Fitzgerald can win them too. The Saints are very good too but they haven’t played a good game in two months, and haven’t played any game at all in one month.

baltimore +6 INDIANAPOLIS
This game will be another referendum on how teams with big division leads should handle their late season games. I have a lot of confidence in Peyton Manning but against Baltimore’s defense I can’t shake the feeling that the Colts will have another early round disappointment. I’m not convinced the Ravens will win but I definitely think they will keep it close.

new york jets +7 SAN DIEGO
I am sticking with my position that the Chargers will win the Super Bowl, and by extension, win this game. But I have noticed a couple things. The Jets have a great passing defense. The San Diego Chargers are a great passing team. The Chargers don’t have much of a running game, and the Jets rush defense is not a strong suit. The Jets will try to run the ball, and the Chargers allow 4.5 yards a carry. And the Jets have a better than average running game which means they should be able to gain near five yards a carry which would take a lot of pressure off Mark Sanchez. If football is a game of matchups you could make a strong case for the Jets in this one.

BEST BET
dallas +3 MINNESOTA
I think Dallas is going to win this game outright. They’re playing really well right now and the Vikings aren’t. When the Vikings got Brett Favre I never liked their Super Bowl chances because I thought he would submarine them with one bad game at the wrong time. I think this will be that game. The Cowboys will be able to put a lot of pressure on Favre and surprisingly Adrian Peterson won’t be able to help him.

Last week: 2-2 (1 point)
Season: 38-51 (36 points)
Best Bets: 0-1 (8-10)
Home Favorites: 1-1 (8-14)
Home Underdogs: 0-0 (1-2)
Road Favorites: 0-0 (16-16)
Road Underdogs: 1-1 (13-18)
Road Pickem: 0-0 (0-1)