Weekly Picks

Got off to a pretty good start last week, won my first three games and Denver, my best bet, had a 15-point lead in the second half of their game. And it all went downhill from there. Going with some risky bets this week. We'll see how they pay off.

NEW ENGLAND -1 1/2 new Orleans
I like the Patriots to bounce back here. Horrible game last week, they will recover. And figure out how to stop, or slow the Saints.

indianapolis -1 1/2 SAN DIEGO
I hate picking a team coming off a huge victory but I have a lot of confidence in the Colts and very little in the Chargers.

jacksonville +26 1/2 DENVER
Smart money always comes in late on the big underdogs. Denver is not going to be motivated to keep their best players in the game, and to keep throwing the ball, probably after the 10 minute mark of the third quarter. Even if it's 35-3 at that point, I would expect the Jags to be about to lose this game by 42-17 or something like that. Also, I was in a restaurant last night at some loudmouth at the next table was saying there was no way Denver doesn't win by at least 30. That pushed me over the top on this one.

tennessee +13 SEATTLE
A lot is being made out of Seattle's home-field advantage, something I normally find to be incredibly overrated. 13 points is way too much to be giving to a pretty decent team like the Titans.

BEST BET
HOUSTON -7 1/2 st. Louis
It's always darkest before dawn. This is basically a bet that although Matt Schaub is bad, bordering on horrible, he can't stink this much every week. And if he does, and gets yanked for TJ Yates or whomever, the Texans should still be able to cover this.

Last Week: 3-2 (2 points)
Season: 10-15 (9 points)
Best Bets: 0-1 (2-3)
Home Favorites: 1-1 (4-4)
Home Underdogs: 0-0 (0-1)
Road Favorites: 1-1 (3-4)
Road Underdogs: 1-0 (3-6)