Weekly Picks

We keep moving up the ladder thanks to the dominant performance of the New England Patriots and a mediocre performance picking the rest of the games by me. Eventually the Patriots train is going to derail, but I'm on board for one more week.

tampa bay +2 DETROIT
In games where the spread is less than 3 points I just pick the better team. I ignore the home field, I ignore everything and expect the better team to win. The Buccaneers have some injuries but Garcia has been playing well and I just don't love the Lions.

pittsburgh -3 1/2 DENVER
I think Denver is actually very bad this season. They really haven't played a good game. The Steelers have been excellent this season other than that hiccup against the Cardinals. I don't expect another letdown.

DALLAS -9 1/2 minnesota
The type of game I like. A really good team coming off a really bad game, and a bad team coming off a good game. I'd be shocked if there was an upset here, and based on the way the Cowboys were killing everyone before last week, I expect them to put a ton of points on the board.

CINCINNATI -6 new york jets
The Jets are really bad. They should be able to put up some points on a horrible Bengals defense but this might finally be the week the Bengals score some points, enough to win by a touchdown.

new england -16 1/2 MIAMI
This is the game I was talking about a few weeks ago when I discussed the underdog tax. Based on performance through 6 games this season these teams should be 23 1/2 points apart. But with a spread that big the casinos would never get even action on both sides. So you are actually getting a few points by picking the Pats. But I still smell trouble in this game. The Dolphins could turn in a prideful performance and turn a 30-7 game into a 30-14 game with a late touchdown.

Last week: 3-2 (4 points)
Season so far: 15-15 (17 points)
Best bet: 1-0 (4-2)
Home favorites: 1-1 (6-5)
Home underdogs: 0-0 (2-0)
Road favorites: 2-0 (6-6)
Road underdogs: 0-1 (1-4)