Saturday, December 10, 2011

Weekly Picks

Exactly the opposite of the previous week. This time I only got one game right. But it was my best bet. Riding the Tebow train. Can't understand it but see no need to get off now.

CAROLINA +3 atlanta
Atlanta looked shitty last week against Houston. And I know I don't normally pay attention to that but they haven't impressed me all season. Carolina meanwhile, Cam Newton's amazing performances are starting to result in victories.

new england -8 WASHINGTON
I hate when I have to do this but the Redskins have no chance in hell of keeping this game close.

san francisco -4 ARIZONA
Have people not been paying attention to the 49ers? They are a damn good team. And the Cardinals stink, and they are coming off a lucky victory.

philadelphia +3 MIAMI
There's a big talent gap here I believe. The Eagles are just too good to finis 4-12. They got embarrassed last week and have a long week to recover.

DENVER -3 chicago

Very nervous about this because Tebow wins every game by 3 points but I am willing to roll the dice and hope maybe they win 21-17 or 17-13.

Last Week: 1-4 (2 points)
Season: 31-34 (30 points)
Best Bets: 1-0 (6-7)
Home Favorites: 0-2 (14-16)
Home Underdogs: 0-0 (0-1)
Road Favorites: 0-1 (9-8)
Road Underdogs: 1-1 (8-9)

Thursday, December 08, 2011

The Entitlement Culture

There's lots of talk lately about "fair share" and the "1% vs. the 99%." Radio host Adam Carolla, known as a comedian, hits is right on the head in this 9-minute rant. It is a thing of beauty, and you should listen to the whole thing. But if you don't have that kind of patience skip forward to 5:55 into the video for the story about Mr. Jenkins. I'll offer my thoughts after you've watched it.

This nails it. Everything I have been saying for years. Giving people things they didn't earn teaches them that they don't have to work to get things. In the real world, you do. And I don't even think it's a stretch to go from "I play so I deserve a trophy" to "I live so I deserve a job."
Especially when everyone, including the President, is telling you that your failures are someone else's fault.
Yes, the system can be unfair. Yes, there are some people who have more through no accomplishment of their own, and some have nothing through no fault of their own. But in general, in our society, if we allow it to stay a meritocracy, everyone has the ability to build something for themselves. As long as we don't beat the personal responsibility and desire for achievement out of them.

Wednesday, December 07, 2011

Fiddling While the Trailer Burns

Last year I wrote about a town in Tennessee where firefighters allowed a resident's home to burn down because he had not paid the $75 annual fire fee.
Some people will never learn. Another resident in the same county, Obion County, had her trailer burn down because she hadn't paid the mandatory fee to the fire department of neighboring South Fulton.
Let's recap: Obion is too small for its own fire department. Nearby South Fulton is willing to respond to fire calls there, if its residents pay a $75 fee each year.
Like it or not, you'd think Vicky Bell would have paid the fee after reading about Gene Crasnick. Crasnick's house burned down and the fire department didn't intervene because he hadn't paid the fee.
Now the same thing happened to Bell's trailer.

Here's the bottom line: when someone tells you "if you don't do this, this might happen" and you still don't do it, then you are accepting the consequences.
Especially, the second time around. Bell had warning. She chose to gamble that her trailer would never catch fire, she lost.
It's unfortunate (and again, if people were in danger the firefighters would have helped) but the system wouldn't work any other way.
You can't charge people after the fact because it would still probably not be enough to cover expenses from fighting the fire, because the fire department costs money just to operate, waiting for a fire.
And if you charged an exorbitant fee, these poor rubes wouldn't be able to pay it.

It comes back to the debate which is tearing apart our country right now: the responsibilities of the individual versus the responsibilities of the society to aid the individual.

We have become way to reliant on others and we need to restore personal responsibility.

Song of the Week

"Headlines" - Drake
I initially summarily rejected Drake just because of his overwhelming popularity. But when you really listen to him (and you can't help it with him being on the radio every ten seconds) the kid can really rap. I like his flow on this one the best.

Tuesday, December 06, 2011

The NFL is Poop - Week 13

The Best Ever?
Right now I think we are witnessing one of the greatest seasons a quarterback has ever had. I'm not going to sit here and compare stats between Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady in 2007. Because I've seen that done, and Brady wins. I know Brady was great that year, and others have been great, but here's what I think puts Rodgers over the top. Every pass is perfect. He had less than a minute to get the Packers 60-plus yards for a field goal attempt, and it wasn't even difficult. Every pass was exactly where it needed to be for it to be caught. No defense could have stopped those throws from being completed. The Giants knew what was coming and they couldn't stop it.

Jordy Nelson hauls in another of Rodgers's PrimeTim Dimes -- the E is silent!

Good Friends Better Enemies
Two former Florida Gators teammates staged a great little back and forth -- but as always -- Tim Tebow won. Vikings wide receiver Percy Harvin played the best game of his NFL career. He scored on 52 and 48-yard passes, but each time he did Tim Tebow brought his team back. And maybe we are witnessing his evolution because Tebow didn't win this game with his legs (only 4 carries for 13 yards), the defense didn't play great (scored one TD but allowed 32 points). Tebow threw some great passes including two to Demaryius Thomas. But even has he dropped one right into Thomas's arms it's still apparent that he can't throw a spiral. The pass was wobbling the whole time, but it got there. And as I am starting to believe with Tebow, it may not be pretty, but he gets the job done.

I Guess Everyone Has To Tweet Insults About Matt Forte
Chicago Bears running back Matt Forte was cruising along having a great season. He was a serious MVP candidate (well, not really because of Aaron Rodgers) but it all ended in one fell swoop. He will miss several games (but could come back for the season ends) with a Grade 2 sprain of his MCL. Exactly the same injury Jay Cutler had during last year's NFC Championship game when it seemed like the entire league (of players who weren't in the playoffs) questioned Cutler's heart, toughness and commitment to his team.

Ice the Kicker
Dallas Cowboys coach Jason Garrett is under a lot of fire for icing his own kicker. Garrett called timeout just as Dan Bailey was lining up to kick a 49-yard game-winning field goal. Time was called as the ball sailed through the uprights. Bailey missed his second attempt and Garrett is being blamed. Garrett shouldn't be blamed for that. I have seen studies comparing kicks before and after timeouts. The results are inconclusive with a slight bias leaning towards showing icing kickers works. I believe Garrett cost his team the game, but not by icing the kicker. He lost the game by not calling timeout after two successive complete passes. That cost his team the chance to run another play and get even closer. That's why Garrett should be under fire, clearly tangible evidence that he didn't effectively use his timeouts to his advantage, not some conjecture about the kicker's psychology going into his second attempt at the field goal.

you fucked up

A Brief Rant About the Redskins
The Redskins stink. Through 12 weeks of this season I know that. What is so galling is that they can't score touchdowns in the red zone. Four more field goal attempts. And Rex Grossman always make a critical error at the wrong time. I am keeping the rant brief this week.

Picture of the Week
When the ExpensiveCornPrices go retro they go all the way. Even the cheerleaders are dressed in throwback unis.

Here's Winking At You Kid

Maybe it's obvious, but I guess you have to learn how to wink. I wink at Julian and his efforts to imitate me are hilarious.

Monday, December 05, 2011

Never Leave Flour Laying Around

Woman gets home from food shopping. Leaves the groceries where her two kids can get them and goes to the bathroom. She claims she was in there for just a few minutes. When she stepped out she saw this, went in the bathroom to avoid killing the little bastards, got the camera and tried to laugh it off.

Adios Jose

Jose Reyes has officially left the New York Mets, signing a 6-year, $106 million contract with the Miami Marlins.
The Marlins have different motivations than the Mets. They are moving into a new ballpark and need to fill it with a star player to create excitement (though I think their flirtation with the Expensive Pooh Holes is just for show). And in truth, they have a better, younger core (Morrison, Stanton, Ramirez and Josh Johnson) than the Mets, making Reyes a more valuable addition for them.
The Mets were only willing to offer 5-years at $80 million, maybe $90m at the most. That wasn't going to be enough.
And as sad as I am to see him go, I think it is the right move for the Mets. This team is not ready to compete yet. And since his next two years are likely to be his best (of the 6 on the contract) it does little good to pay a player $18 million to be on a bad team. And by the time the Mets are ready to compete, Reyes, an oft-injured player whose game relies on speed, it's likely his performance will be in decline.
I will miss watching Reyes play. I always enjoyed his energy, his smile, his defense and especially his triples, but the time has come to move on.
Adios Jose.

Sunday, December 04, 2011

Weekly Picks

I finally got a little something going last week but missed my best bet. I am still .500 for the season. But that's not good enough. 55% overall is what you need, and for these purposes, you certainly can't be 42% on best bets.

atlanta -2 HOUSTON
Such a tough break for the Texans to lose not one but two quarterbacks. I know they will still play good defense and still run the ball, but I think the Falcons can pull this one off.

st. louis +13 1/2 SAN FRANCISCO

This spread is a little too much for a team with a suspect offense. And perhaps the Rams can use some of the Ravens strategy for putting pressure on Alex Smith.

NEW ENGLAND -20 1/2 indianapolis

The last time we saw a spread this big it was the Patriots during their undefeated regular season of 2007. They were favored by 23 over the Eagles, and only won by 3. This time I see them scoring at least 38 points. Can the Colts score more than 17? I doubt it.

CHICAGO -7 kansas city
Hanie threw 3 interceptions last week. If he can cut that down to 1 or even zero I think the Bears can win big.

denver +1/2 MINNESOTA

If you can't beat em, join em.

Last Week: 4-1 (3 points)
Season: 30-30 (28 points)
Best Bets: 0-1 (5-7)
Home Favorites: 2-1 (14-14)
Home Underdogs: 0-0 (0-1)
Road Favorites: 2-0 (9-7)
Road Underdogs: 0-0 (7-8)