A Little Gambling Advice

If I were a gambler, I would be picking the New York Giants today. Right now the spread is 13 points or higher.
I believe there is a significant likelihood that the number could come way down over the next two weeks, probably going off at 10 1/2.
At that time I'd pick the New England Patriots and hope to "middle" the game.
Here's why: if you win one and lose one, the most you can lose is the 10% vig on one bet.
That means if you risk $100 on each bet you will lose $10 if you split.
But if New England wins by 11 (35-24) or 12 (29-17) you would win $200.
So you are risking $10 to win $200.
That means the Patriots winning by 11 or 12 is essentially a 20-1 shot.
If you think a a final score like that has a 5% chance of happening then you should take the Giants today and hope the line falls so you can snap up the Pats next week.