Friday, January 06, 2012

Weekly Picks

Had a little bit of a bounceback last week but the season is still a disaster. 11 games left, best I can do is get them all right.

cincinnati +3 1/2 HOUSTON
This is a tough game to call, as evidenced by the 3 point spread, which basically means pick'em on a neutral field. I trust Andy Dalton a little bit more than an injured TJ Yates, especially because if something happens to Yates, Jake Delhomme comes in.

NEW ORLEANS -10 1/2 detroit
This spread is way too big and there is definitely a chance Detroit is down 17 and scores a junk touchdown at the end. But I love the way the Saints are playing right now. And last week's record-setting performance by Matt Flynn wasn't an aberration. It doesn't necessarily mean Flynn is so great, it means the Detroit secondary is terrible. Basically we know New Orleans will score 31 or more. And Detroit can put points on the board, so this game comes down to Stafford's turnovers. If he has 1 or 0, the Lions will cover, if he throws 2 or more picks, the Saints will.

atlanta +3 NEW YORK GIANTS
I like the Falcons offense, but they are going to have a tough time containing Eli Manning and Victor Cruz. Similar to the other game, it's basically an even match, so I will just take the points.

BEST BET
pittsburgh -8 DENVER

I haven't been able to get Tim Tebow right all year. But I have finally jumped off the bandwagon again. Pittsburgh may have a hard time scoring 8 points, but if they do, they could very well shut out Denver.


Last Week: 3-2 (4 points)
Season: 38-47 (36 points)
Best Bets: 1-0 (7-10)
Home Favorites: 1-1 (16-19)
Home Underdogs: 0-0 (0-3)
Road Favorites: 1-1 (11-14)
Road Underdogs: 1-0 (11-11)

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