Tuesday, October 27, 2015

Let's Just Win

The New York Mets are in the World Series.
I couldn't possibly be more excited. I can barely sit still or keep a thought in my head.
The Kansas City Royals are an excellent team. Unlike the powerful sluggers of the Cubs who were shut down by the Mets, the Royals have a lineup of pesky hitters who keep rallies alive with singles and walks.
They take extra bases and they don't make errors. There will not be dropped fly balls like the ones Schwarber gifted the Mets in the NLCS.
Also, the Royals have Wade Davis. He is virtually unhittable. Since becoming the Royals relief ace last season he has a sub-1.00 ERA.
But the Mets have Matt Harvey, Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard and Steven Matz.
The Royals will be starting (in order) Edinson Volquez, Johnny Cueto, Yordano Ventura and Chris Young.
Do this thought experiment: take the four pitchers for each team, add them to an otherwise identical roster of 21 other players. Computer-simulate 1000 7-game series. How many do the Mets win?
Reissberg and I each speculated the number would be between 800 and 900.
It is with that reason, that I believe the Mets will win the 2015 World Series.
Let's Go Mets.

1 comment:

Damino said...

I am equally excited and very, very nervous. I have only seen NLDS game 1 as I was in Europe for the entirety of this amazing postseason run, and now I'm back to watch everything live. I want this badly.