Saturday, October 13, 2007

Weekly Picks

My New England strategy worked for the second straight week, this time, just barely. But it was good enough to salvage an otherwise mediocre week.

CLEVELAND -5 miami
The Browns are actually a pretty decent team. They could be 3-2 right now with losses only to the Steelers and Patriots if not for the bullshit time out that cost them the Raiders game. Even so, they play tough and put points n the board. The Dolphins are horrible.

houston +6 1/2 JACKSONVILLE
I haven't been picking enough underdogs this season, but so far my record when picking road dogs is terrible. I actually believe in the Texans even though their last two weeks were a loss to the Falcons and a near-loss to the Dolphins. But this is a pretty big spread for a Jacksonville team that doesn't score a lot of points.

new york giants -3 ATLANTA
The Giants are playing good football right now. Their defense has turned around a lot since two embarassing performances in the first two weeks. They are running the ball pretty well, and they are playing against the horrible Atlanta Falcons.

CHICAGO -5 minnesota
The Bears had a nice bounceback week against the Packers. They should be able to keep it going against a turnover prone Minnesota team. The Vikings can defend the run, but not the pass, so I hope Griese can move the ball around without throwing the interceptions that ended the tenure of his predecessor.

new england -5 DALLAS
Even if I weren't picking New England every week blind, I would love this game. The Cowboys are so overrated that this spread should be about 10. The Patriots are on a different level right now. I don't expect them to have a letdown in what is billed as the game of the year.

Last week: 2-3 (3 points)
Season so far: 12-13 (13 points)
Best bet: 1-0 (3-2)
Home favorites: 2-2 (5-4)
Home underdogs: 0-0 (2-0)
Road favorites: 0-1 (4-6)
Road underdogs: 0-0 (1-3)

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