Sunday, February 05, 2017
Every year I comb through the serious and the ridiculous to find prop bets to enjoy the Super Bowl more. I already picked the Patriots to win the game and cover the spread, here's my thoughts on almost everything. Under 58 1/2 Everyone and their mother is going over in this thing but the Patriots have a pretty good defense and even more importantly, I think they know they need to keep the ball away from the Falcons, so they will try to chew up some clock and control the ball. Matt Ryan MVP 5/2 Yeah, it's probably going to be Tom Brady. But he's basically 1 to 1. So Ryan pays 2.5x and probably is half as likely to win. It's a better price. LeGarratte Blount First TD 8 to 1 It's always hard to pick a running back when two pass-oriented teams are on the field, but I have feeling the Patriots are going to try to run it. Total QB sacks under 4 Neither team has a threatening pass rush and both passers like to get rid of it. Tom Brady under 2 1/2 rushing yards Seems drastically low, but this would have been a winner in 6 of his last 7 games. Even if he gets 4 yards, he could reverse that with two kneeldowns. Length of first reception by Chris Hogan Over 11 1/2 He's not an underneath receiver Julio Jones under 95 1/2 receiving yards The Patriots try to make you beat them with someone other than your best player And now, to the non-football Luke Bryan will come out wearing blue jeans 1/2 No way a country star sings the National Anthem in a nice pair of dockers. National Anthem under 1 minute 58 seconds Luke Bryan seems like a no-nonsense kind of guy. Lady Gaga's First Song: Edge of Glory 6/1 Internet rumors that it was going to be "Poker Face" but I don't believe anything I read on the internet. Deflategate mentions over 1 1/2 It has to come up. Coin toss Heads, easy Guest Performers during halftime show over 1/2 Isn't Lady Gaga like BFFs with Tony Bennett? Red Gatorade Poured on winning coach 6/1 It is the best flavor, and a primary color for both teams.