Thursday, March 18, 2010

NCAA Tournament Preview: The Top Seeds

East: This region is Kentucky's to lose. West Virginia is a hot team right now but I just don't see them being able to match Kentucky. And it's not because of John Wall. DeMarcus Cousins will have too much size for a generally smallish WVU team. The 3 seed in this region, New Mexico is a good team but often good teams from smaller conferences that get seeded this high (other than Memphis recently) don't have the talent to match the top teams. The four seed in this region, Wisconsin, could pose the biggest threat to Kentucky by slowing the game down and frustrating Wall and Kentucky's other young stars.

Midwest: I have not seen anyone pick anyone other than Kansas to get through this region despite the fact that people complained Kansas has gotten an unfair draw. I really like Ohio State and think Evan Turner is the best player in the country. With Georgetown and Maryland also in this region I just don't think anyone can stop this epic 1 vs 2 matchup in the Regional Final.

West: This is a tough region for Syracuse but I think most people expect them to win it. Kansas State is also a very good team with good guard play, the kind of team people like in the tournament. There isn't a lot of confidence in Pitt. Even when they had really good teams they always underachieved in the tournament because they would win games with effort and brute force but that doesn't work against better teams. That should happen when they run into Kansas State.

South: This one is wide open. Only one year did all four number one seeds make the Final Four. Almost everyone believes Duke is the most vulnerable to miss it this year. That comes even as people say Duke has the easiest road. I actually think this region is wide open for Baylor. Baylor could lose to bigger stronger teams but they can run past anyone. A team like Villanova is perfectly suited for Baylor's game, and Baylor is playing much better than Nova right now. That leaves Baylor against Duke in a regional final, I think. This year Duke has more size than they normally do but they are still a bunch of white pussies who lose every year when someone hits them in the mouth.

Final Four picks: Kansas, Kentucky, Kansas State and Baylor

Note: contrary to popular belief the Big 12 is the best conference this year, not the Big East.

National Champion: This is one of the toughest decisions picking a winner since 2005 when Illinois and North Carolina were in it. The quandary is the same, the more talented team against the more proven winner. Kentucky has the most talent, but three of their top players are freshmen. I don't necessarily think experience is as important as those TV talking heads do, especially because Kentucky has always managed to find a way to win these close games this year. But I just have a feeling about Kansas and I think the Cole Aldrich-DeMarcus Cousins matchup could decide this year's tournament so I am picking Kansas to win for the 2nd time in three years.

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